A recent CNBC Fed Survey indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris is now viewed as more likely to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election than former President Donald Trump, with 48% of respondents favoring Harris compared to 41% for Trump. This marks a notable shift from a July survey where Trump held a 50% likelihood of winning. The survey was conducted shortly after the first debate between the two candidates. Harris has focused her campaign on economic reforms aimed at alleviating the high cost of living and expanding the middle class, while Trump continues to advocate for extending his first-term tax cuts and a strict tariff policy. The survey also reveals that opinions on which candidate would better benefit the economy are mixed, with 56% believing Trump would favor the stock market. Overall, the election's outcome is seen as critical for the future economic landscape.