The upcoming debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is critical as the 2024 presidential race remains extremely close, with both candidates tied or narrowly leading in key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Decision Desk HQ's model gives Harris a slight edge with a 55% probability of winning, while Nate Silver's model tips in favor of Trump at 60%. Polls show Harris leading in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump leads in Arizona, making their debate performance potentially game-changing. Michigan, a crucial battleground state, reflects a diverse voter base that both parties are heavily targeting. The debate's outcome could influence early voting decisions as a significant portion of voters remain undecided.