Election Day odds

With just one day until the 2024 U.S. presidential election, betting markets reveal a tightening race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Robinhood has introduced election contracts, allowing users to bet on the outcome, with over 100 million contracts traded in less than a week. Polling expert Nate Silver predicts the election to be a 'pure toss-up,' with Trump having a slight edge at 51.5% against Harris' 48.1% in his latest analysis, though multiple polls show competitive results across key battleground states. On the cryptocurrency betting platform Polymarket, Trump's odds have dropped from 67% to 57% while Harris' odds have increased from 33.1% to 43%. The stakes are high, as Harris has received positive poll results in previously challenging states like Iowa, while Trump maintains strong support in others. As Election Day approaches, both candidates continue to vie for crucial electoral votes, with models indicating a closely contested outcome.