2024 election forecast

Nominations for the Northern Territory Election on August 24 have closed, with 153,519 electors enrolled, reflecting an 8.7% increase since 2020. The ballot position draw will occur at 3 pm local time, and details will be updated on the ABC Northern Territory Election Guide. Meanwhile, the 2024 U.S. presidential race has intensified, highlighted by Donald Trump's survival of an assassination attempt and the subsequent selection of JD Vance as his vice presidential candidate, despite concerns over Vance's controversial past. President Biden's unexpected withdrawal from the race has further shifted dynamics, as he faced declining approval ratings and skepticism about his electability. In the background, discussions on immigration and trade are gaining prominence, particularly as both Mexico and Canada prepare for new leadership. Additionally, there are calls to ensure the upcoming elections reflect true democratic values and address critical issues such as the influence of the radical left and foreign policy implications in Latin America.