Harris vs. Trump: Tighter Race in Battleground States

As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, the contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is exceedingly tight, especially in key battleground states. According to Nate Silver’s forecast, Trump has a slight edge in the Electoral College with a 52.4% chance of winning, while Harris leads in national polls by 3.8 points. Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls show Harris leading in six battleground states and tied in one. Post-DNC, Harris has maintained a narrow lead in various polls, but her advantage remains within the margin of error, indicating a highly competitive race. The Cook Political Report identifies eight critical swing states that will likely determine the election outcome.