Negative
22Serious
Neutral
Optimistic
Positive
- Total News Sources
- 4
- Left
- 0
- Center
- 0
- Right
- 4
- Unrated
- 0
- Last Updated
- 72 days ago
- Bias Distribution
- 100% Right
Pollsters Underestimate Trump Support Again
Pollsters have once again underestimated support for Donald Trump, who is projected to defeat Kamala Harris in both the Electoral College and the national popular vote. Despite polls showing Harris with a slight lead before the election, Trump currently holds a 3.5-point advantage nationally, outperforming expectations in battleground states and even in traditionally Democratic regions like New Jersey. James Johnson, a pollster who accurately predicted Trump's victory, noted that many polling companies failed to account for his core voter base, particularly those without college education who reside in rural areas and are less likely to engage in traditional polling methods. Nate Cohn from The New York Times echoed these concerns, indicating a persistent nonresponse bias that tends to underestimate Trump’s support, as Republican voters are less likely to respond to surveys compared to their Democratic counterparts. Additionally, Cohn highlighted that Democrats might not have the same early-voting advantage as in previous elections, which could further benefit Trump on Election Day.
- Total News Sources
- 4
- Left
- 0
- Center
- 0
- Right
- 4
- Unrated
- 0
- Last Updated
- 72 days ago
- Bias Distribution
- 100% Right
Open Story
Timeline
Analyze and predict the
development of events
Negative
22Serious
Neutral
Optimistic
Positive
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