Pollsters Underestimate Trump Support Again
Pollsters Underestimate Trump Support Again

Pollsters Underestimate Trump Support Again

News summary

Pollsters have once again underestimated support for Donald Trump, who is projected to defeat Kamala Harris in both the Electoral College and the national popular vote. Despite polls showing Harris with a slight lead before the election, Trump currently holds a 3.5-point advantage nationally, outperforming expectations in battleground states and even in traditionally Democratic regions like New Jersey. James Johnson, a pollster who accurately predicted Trump's victory, noted that many polling companies failed to account for his core voter base, particularly those without college education who reside in rural areas and are less likely to engage in traditional polling methods. Nate Cohn from The New York Times echoed these concerns, indicating a persistent nonresponse bias that tends to underestimate Trump’s support, as Republican voters are less likely to respond to surveys compared to their Democratic counterparts. Additionally, Cohn highlighted that Democrats might not have the same early-voting advantage as in previous elections, which could further benefit Trump on Election Day.

Story Coverage
Bias Distribution
100% Right
Information Sources
a5c5a26e-e0e5-40ba-ac17-43e79c1098fbdf996e72-9933-4037-bf43-26f5ba21bcd178876203-7edc-4c1e-8422-d6a486707f9e54ccf810-ed18-41f8-ae06-532e52ce2c3b
Right 100%
Coverage Details
Total News Sources
4
Left
0
Center
0
Right
4
Unrated
0
Last Updated
72 days ago
Bias Distribution
100% Right

Open Story Timeline

Story timeline 1Story timeline 2Story timeline 3Story timeline 4Story timeline 5Story timeline 6Story timeline 7Story timeline 8Story timeline 9Story timeline 10Story timeline 11Story timeline 12Story timeline 13Story timeline 14

Analyze and predict the
development of events

Related News
Daily Index

Negative

22Serious

Neutral

Optimistic

Positive

Ask VT AI
Story Coverage
Subscribe

Stay in the know

Get the latest news, exclusive insights, and curated content delivered straight to your inbox.

Present

Gift Subscriptions

The perfect gift for understanding
news from all angles.

Related News
Recommended News