Poland, Romania, Portugal Prepare Crucial 2025 National Elections

Poland's upcoming presidential election, with the first round held on May 18, features a close race primarily between Rafał Trzaskowski of the pro-European Civic Platform and Karol Nawrocki, an independent supported by the nationalist-conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party. Trzaskowski, the liberal mayor of Warsaw, currently leads in polls but may face a runoff against Nawrocki, whose campaign focuses on nationalist policies including stricter immigration and tax reductions. The election is pivotal amid ongoing concerns about Russia's war in Ukraine, with Poland playing a key role by supporting Ukraine militarily and hosting nearly a million refugees. The presidency holds veto power that has previously blocked reforms by the ruling coalition, complicating governance despite the prime minister's stronger executive role. Observers note that a Trzaskowski victory could align Poland more closely with traditional European powers and support EU integration and defense cooperation, while a Nawrocki win might strengthen Poland's ties with the United States and promote nationalist policies. This election is part of a broader regional trend where populist and nationalist candidates are challenged by moderates, signaling potential shifts in Europe's political direction.