Nate Silver names Ocasio-Cortez top pick for 2028 Democratic nomination

Statistician Nate Silver and podcast host Galen Druke both predict that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is currently the most likely candidate to lead the Democratic presidential ticket in 2028, citing her high favorability among Democrats and strong, fervent support within the party. Their forecasts are based on recent polling data, such as a Yale University poll showing Ocasio-Cortez with the highest net favorability among potential contenders and broad appeal across different Democratic factions. Both Silver and Druke note her media savvy and the attention she garners, which could be advantageous in a crowded primary, though Silver expresses some uncertainty about whether she will ultimately run. Meanwhile, actor and Democratic donor George Clooney has voiced support for Maryland Governor Wes Moore, highlighting his leadership qualities and response to recent crises, but polling and political analysts like Silver and Druke still see Ocasio-Cortez as the frontrunner if she enters the race. The discussion reflects early speculation and recognizes the likelihood of a competitive primary with multiple prominent figures vying for attention. Overall, Ocasio-Cortez’s youth, progressive credentials, and ability to generate excitement are seen as major assets, even as questions remain about her intentions.