Japan Ruling Coalition Projected to Lose Upper House Majority Amid Populist Gains

Japan's ruling coalition, led by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), is facing significant political challenges after exit polls predicted a loss of majority in the upper house of parliament. This setback follows a previous loss in the lower house, leaving Ishiba's minority government vulnerable and potentially ushering in a period of political instability. The far-right Sanseitō party, with its anti-immigration 'Japan First' agenda, is projected to gain seats, capitalizing on public dissatisfaction over rising prices and immigration policies. Opposition parties are also gaining support by promising welfare spending and tax cuts, contrasting with the LDP's fiscal restraint stance amid concerns over Japan's large national debt. The political uncertainty complicates crucial trade negotiations with the United States, where Japan faces a looming deadline to finalize a deal or face heavy tariffs. Experts warn that losing control of both houses could force leadership changes or unprecedented minority governance in Japan's post-war history.