Sherrill Leads Ciattarelli by 20 Points in New Jersey Governor Poll

Democratic nominee Mikie Sherrill holds a significant lead over Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the 2025 New Jersey governor's race, with multiple polls showing Sherrill leading by margins ranging from 7 to 20 points. Sherrill is viewed as more moderate and trustworthy on key state issues, and her base has more cohesively rallied behind her compared to Ciattarelli's. President Donald Trump is a major factor for over half of the voters, with his influence currently benefiting Sherrill more than Ciattarelli, despite Trump’s endorsement potentially having helped Ciattarelli in the primaries. Poll experts caution that early polls should be seen as snapshots rather than predictions, noting that voter turnout and national political dynamics will be decisive come November. Previous polling errors in 2021 underscore the volatility of the race, as last-minute shifts can narrow or widen leads. Both campaigns acknowledge the competitive nature of the contest, with Ciattarelli emphasizing the election as a call for change despite trailing in recent surveys.