Historian Allan Lichtman, known for his accurate presidential election predictions since 1984, has forecasted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 election against former President Donald Trump. Lichtman's prediction is based on his '13 keys' model, which evaluates various factors influencing the election's outcome, and he claims Harris currently meets the necessary criteria for victory. While Lichtman identified three false keys favoring Trump, he emphasized that Harris only needs to not lose six keys to secure her win. The keys assess elements such as midterm election results, incumbency, and the candidates' charisma, with Lichtman noting that the Democratic Party gained seats in the House in the 2022 midterms. Despite potential risks surrounding foreign policy and social unrest, Lichtman maintains that Harris's chances remain strong. He encourages voters to participate, reminding them that ultimately, the outcome is up to them.