Hochul Retains 14-Point Lead Over Stefanik in NY Governor Poll

New York Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a lead over Republican Representative Elise Stefanik in the potential 2026 gubernatorial race, but her advantage has narrowed significantly from a 23-point lead to 14 points according to multiple Siena College polls. Hochul's job approval rating has improved to around 53%, her highest in over two years, while her favorability remains slightly negative overall. Stefanik is gaining ground, especially among independents and suburban voters, though a substantial portion of voters remain unfamiliar with her or have unfavorable views. Voters express concern about the impacts of the recent federal "Big Beautiful Bill," particularly the risk of rural hospital closures and state budget adjustments, with many preferring spending cuts over tax increases. Regional divides are evident, with New York City voters strongly backing Hochul, but downstate suburban and upstate voters shifting more toward Stefanik. The polls indicate a competitive race ahead, with Hochul facing a primary challenge from Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado, who remains largely unknown to voters.