Jon Ralston Predicts Narrow Harris Victory in Nevada

Jon Ralston, a prominent Nevada political commentator, predicts a narrow victory for Vice President Kamala Harris in the state, estimating a margin of just three-tenths of a percent over former President Donald Trump. Despite Trump's significant lead in early voting, Ralston believes the Democratic 'machine' and a strong turnout from 'closet Democrats' will secure enough votes for Harris. He acknowledges that the early GOP lead may skew results initially but expresses confidence in the Democrats' capacity to mobilize mail-in voters. Ralston warns that the final outcome may not be clear on Election Night due to the expected influx of mail-in ballots. He notes that the election hinges on how undecided and nonpartisan voters break, which could tip the balance in favor of Harris. This election cycle presents unique challenges, with historical voting patterns disrupted by early Republican enthusiasm and mail-in voting strategies.