Poland Nears Polarized Presidential Runoff Amid Russian Disinformation

Poland is approaching a highly contested presidential runoff between liberal-conservative Rafal Trzaskowski and national-conservative Karol Nawrocki, with polls showing a razor-thin margin between the two candidates. The campaign has been marked by deep societal polarization and intense competition for far-right support, with candidates addressing issues like migration, Ukraine, and economic policy. Nawrocki, supported by the Law and Justice party, faces allegations involving violent gang ties and controversies related to his past, which have been publicly condemned by figures such as former First Lady Jolanta Kwaśniewska. Both candidates express support for Ukraine, though they differ in emphasis, with Nawrocki stressing military aid as a deterrent to Russian aggression and Trzaskowski focusing on protecting Poland’s economic interests. Russian influence efforts have been noted, including subtle disinformation campaigns targeting the election, exploiting anti-Ukrainian sentiment amid Poland’s role as host to millions of Ukrainian refugees. The campaign reflects broader regional tensions, including Hungary’s upcoming election where economic fears linked to Ukraine’s EU accession are also influencing voter sentiment.