Ralston Predicts Harris Narrow Win in Nevada

Political analyst Jon Ralston predicts that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly win Nevada in the upcoming presidential election, receiving 48.5% of the vote compared to former President Donald Trump's 48.2%. Ralston emphasizes the significance of independent voters, who make up about 30% of the electorate, suggesting that their support will be critical for Harris's victory. Despite a strong early voting turnout from Republicans, Ralston believes that mail-in ballots from Clark County, a Democratic stronghold, will help close the gap. Historical trends show that Democrats have typically led in early voting, but this year has seen a marked shift with Republicans returning a higher percentage of early ballots. Harris and Trump are currently in a tight race, with polls indicating a near tie, and capturing Nevada's seven electoral votes is crucial for both candidates. Ralston's track record of accurate predictions adds weight to his forecast for this election.