Japan Holds Key Upper House Vote Amid Coalition Majority Uncertainty

Japan held a critical upper house election with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling coalition facing a potential loss that could deepen political instability. The election decided half of the 248 seats, with Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and coalition partner Komeito needing to win at least 50 of the contested seats to maintain a majority. Public dissatisfaction driven by rising living costs, stagnant wages, social security burdens, and immigration tensions has fueled support for opposition parties, including the right-wing populist Sanseito. While a poor result would not immediately unseat Ishiba, it could increase calls within the LDP for his resignation or the formation of new alliances, complicating governance and economic policies amid ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. The election outcome is seen as pivotal for Japan's political future and economic stability, with analysts warning it may undermine investor confidence and affect crucial trade negotiations. Despite the stakes, Ishiba largely avoided major policy shifts during the campaign, and political gridlock is expected to continue after the vote.