Canada Faces Imminent Trade War With U.S. By Summer 2025

Following Mark Carney's recent election as Canada's prime minister, the country faces significant internal and external pressures. Carney's minority government must navigate a fractured domestic landscape while contending with rising global tensions, especially as the U.S. under President Trump takes a more aggressive stance on trade and hints at annexation rhetoric. The looming renegotiation of the USMCA trade pact is expected to be contentious, with American demands for reciprocity threatening Canada's economic stability and independence. Canada also finds itself squeezed between U.S. and Chinese geopolitical competition, with Carney's ties to global finance and green investments under scrutiny. Domestically, critics question how the Liberal Party regained power despite past controversies, while some voices mock the perceived unity and discipline of Americans in the face of trade conflict. Carney's leadership will be tested as he seeks to balance sovereignty, economic sustainability, and global relationships in an increasingly polarized world.