Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Peak in March 2025

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX and current CIO of Maelstrom, predicts that the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, will peak by late March 2025 due to substantial liquidity injections from U.S. financial institutions. He estimates that changes in the Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo Facility and Treasury General Account could inject up to $612 billion into the market, supporting risk assets despite potential political disappointments from the Trump administration's delayed pro-crypto policies. Hayes acknowledges that while this liquidity may spur short-term gains, risks remain, including the impacts of the debt ceiling debate and the upcoming U.S. tax payment deadline in April, which could induce volatility. He is advising investors to adopt a high-risk approach, focusing on decentralized science tokens, having already acquired several in anticipation of market movements. Despite his optimism, Hayes cautions that macroeconomic factors could lead to corrections later in the year. Overall, his analysis reflects a cautious yet bullish outlook for Bitcoin's near-term performance.