Cubs Lead MLB with 17.6% Odds to Win 2025 World Series

The Chicago Cubs have emerged as the statistical favorites to win the 2025 World Series, according to Baseball Reference, which gives them a 17.6% chance—higher than any other team, including perennial favorites like the Dodgers and Yankees. This projection is underpinned by the Cubs' strong start to the season, leading the NL Central with a 14-10 record and excelling against tough competition. Their offense is currently the most potent in MLB, with league-leading figures in runs scored and a standout performance from MVP candidate Kyle Tucker. However, the team faces challenges, particularly in pitching depth due to Justin Steele's season-ending injury and a struggling bullpen. Analysts note that the Cubs' postseason chances could hinge on their activity at the trade deadline to bolster their rotation and relief corps. Overall, their combination of a powerful offense, success against top teams, and an easier schedule ahead positions them as serious contenders for the championship.