Atlantic Tropical Depression Plans Development Near Leeward Islands

A tropical wave designated Invest 95L in the central Atlantic is rapidly developing and is likely to become Tropical Storm Jerry within the next few days as it moves west-northwest toward the northern Leeward Islands. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has assigned an 80% chance of formation within 48 hours and 90% over the next week, with favorable environmental conditions supporting development. Most forecast models predict the storm will track north of the Leeward Islands, though impacts from heavy rain and gusty winds are possible even if the center stays offshore. Meanwhile, a separate low-pressure area near the Yucatan Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms with only a minimal chance of development. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has been active, with several major hurricanes already recorded, and experts note the rapid intensification of storms as a signal of climate change acceleration. Florida is expected to see periods of rain and breezy conditions in the coming days, but current models suggest little direct impact from Invest 95L on the Tampa Bay area.