Arizona Special Election Expected To Narrow House GOP Majority

Several key contests and legislative intentions are shaping the U.S. House's partisan balance ahead of the 2026 elections. In Arizona’s 7th Congressional District, a special election is likely to further narrow the GOP's slim majority as Democrat Adelita Grijalva challenges Republican Daniel Butierez, with Democrats holding a significant voter registration advantage in the district. In Wisconsin, Democratic leaders are considering redrawing congressional maps if they secure the governorship and legislative control in 2026, aiming to address what they see as gerrymandered districts that currently favor Republicans, who hold six of eight seats despite the state's near-even partisan split. The Wisconsin redistricting, if enacted, would take effect for the 2028 and 2030 elections, with the 2026 election seen as pivotal, especially in the competitive Third District. Meanwhile, in Ohio, Republicans are preparing to redraw congressional districts before next year's election, with a likely goal of capturing two Democratic-held seats, potentially increasing GOP representation from the state. These developments reflect ongoing strategic efforts by both parties to influence House control through targeted electoral and redistricting battles.