YouGov Poll Projects Farage Leading UK PM Race Amid Tory, Labour Collapse

Recent polling by YouGov and Ipsos Mori indicates a dramatic political shift in the UK, with Nigel Farage's Reform UK poised to become the largest party and potentially form the next government. Reform UK is projected to win 311 seats, drastically reducing Labour's presence to 144 seats and shrinking the Conservative Party to just 45 seats, marking a historic collapse for the Tories. This would leave Labour heavily reliant on London seats and cause significant losses among prominent Labour and Conservative figures. Although Reform UK would fall 15 seats short of an outright majority, the numbers suggest Farage would be the most likely candidate to become prime minister in a hung parliament. Ipsos Mori polling also shows Farage now tied with Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer in popularity as the preferred prime minister, signaling a major shift in voter sentiment. Despite these gains, other polls indicate some volatility with Reform UK's lead over Labour narrowing, suggesting the political landscape remains fluid.