Allan Lichtman, a historian known for his accurate election predictions, forecasts that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election against Donald Trump. Using his 'Keys to the White House' model, which assesses 13 factors affecting elections, Lichtman states that Harris currently holds eight favorable keys, suggesting a Democratic victory. Despite his formidable track record, Lichtman's predictions have faced criticism, most notably from statistician Nate Silver, who has challenged the validity of his model. Lichtman acknowledges that while the economic conditions are trending positively, there are concerns about a weakening labor market and significant stock market losses. His predictions are based on historical performance rather than current polling or campaign events. Ultimately, Lichtman emphasizes that voter turnout will be crucial in determining the election outcome.