NFL Teams Projected for Varied 2025 Performance Across League

As the NFL prepares for the 2025 season, analysts are using data-driven Changeover Systems to predict team improvements and declines, with past success in forecasting breakout seasons like the Buccaneers' 2020 Super Bowl win. The New York Giants are expected to enter 2025 with increased offensive confidence due to player development and acquisitions, but key questions remain, notably the health and availability of All-Pro left tackle Andrew Thomas, whose absence has correlated with significant team losses. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs are favored to win the AFC West with a projected over/under of 11.5 wins, buoyed by a strong 2024 performance and optimistic offensive projections that account for roster changes including improvements in wide receiver health and talent, alongside some expected regression at tight end Travis Kelce. Projections of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes' performance anticipate slight increases in touchdown passes, factoring in both offensive upgrades and losses, suggesting a high-powered offense ready to contend again. Overall, these analyses combine statistical models, roster evaluations, and injury considerations to provide a nuanced outlook on leading NFL teams' prospects for the upcoming season.