NOAA updates hurricane season

NOAA's updated outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season maintains a prediction of an extremely active season, with forecasts of 17-24 named storms, 8-13 hurricanes, and 4-7 major hurricanes. This year has already seen four named storms, including Hurricane Beryl, which was the earliest Category 5 storm on record, causing significant damage and fatalities. The peak hurricane season, expected from August to October, is likely to see heightened activity due to warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures and other atmospheric conditions. The forecast aligns with predictions from Colorado State University, indicating a high certainty of above-normal storm activity. Current trends suggest additional development in the Atlantic, with a potential tropical wave being monitored for development. Factors such as ENSO impacts also play a role in the ongoing forecast, with a possible transition into a La Niña phase later this fall.