WVU Underdog at UCF Amid Injuries

West Virginia travels to UCF as roughly a 7.5-point underdog, with computer models and experts giving the Mountaineers about a 26–33% chance to win. The game has added urgency for WVU, which still seeks its first Big 12 victory and has been hampered by inconsistent offense and injuries — starting defensive lineman Hammond Russell IV is out. UCF is trying to stop a three-game slide despite a pass defense that ranks among the nation's best, but the Knights have struggled to run the ball and score consistently. Turnovers and the ability to run or stop the run could decide the outcome, and both teams' execution in key phases will determine whether UCF's home-field edge or West Virginia's 4–0 series history carries the day.