Key Seats Uncertain as Labor, Teals Make Gains

Australia's 2025 federal election remains undecided in 14 key seats, including Melbourne, where Greens leader Adam Bandt is favored to retain his seat if current trends persist. The Greens have suffered major losses, particularly in Queensland, where they are likely to lose all three lower house seats gained in 2022, reversing their earlier momentum. Despite a slight increase in their national vote share, the Greens may see their lower house presence shrink but are expected to keep six Senate seats. Labor has made major advances, severely weakening the Liberal Party in metropolitan Sydney and capturing several long-held Liberal seats such as Hughes and Banks. Teal independents have either consolidated or improved their positions, increasing pressure on the Coalition in urban electorates. The final composition of the House will depend on outstanding vote counts in these battleground districts.