The Big 12 conference is shaping up to be highly competitive with five teams now having strong odds to win the championship, including significant risers Kansas State and UCF. Kansas State's recent victory over Arizona has propelled them up to No. 13 in the latest AP Top 25 poll, although it doesn't count towards conference standings. The upcoming game between Utah and Oklahoma State is pivotal, likely determining the frontrunner for the conference title and a College Football Playoff spot. Meanwhile, the SEC and Big Ten remain dominant, with Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Ohio State, Oregon, and Penn State as leading contenders. Projections for the new 12-team College Football Playoff consider offensive and defensive metrics to simulate season outcomes, showcasing the complexity and competitiveness of this year's race.