Northeast Faces Climatologically Overdue Major Hurricane Threat

Experts warn that the US Northeast is climatologically overdue for a major hurricane landfall, with the region not having experienced a direct Category 1 or stronger hurricane in over 30 years and a major hurricane in more than 70 years. AccuWeather meteorologists estimate the likelihood of a major hurricane hitting the Northeast to be about once every 60 to 70 years, with historical storms like the Great New England Hurricane of 1938 causing devastating damage and loss of life. If a storm of similar magnitude were to strike today, it could cause up to $440 billion in damages, far surpassing recent costly storms such as Hurricane Helene. Rising ocean temperatures and increased coastal populations heighten the risk and potential impact of such hurricanes. Meteorologists emphasize the importance of preparedness for residents, emergency services, and businesses, as future storms could produce unprecedented destruction similar to that of Superstorm Sandy in 2012, which caused $210 billion in damage despite being classified as post-tropical at landfall. While New Jersey and other parts of the Northeast are not typically the focus during hurricane season, forecasters predict a more active 2025 season with a 60% chance of above-average storm activity, underscoring the urgency for vigilance and readiness.