NOAA Forecasts Colder Upper Midwest, Milder South
NOAA Forecasts Colder Upper Midwest, Milder South

NOAA Forecasts Colder Upper Midwest, Milder South

News summary

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and National Weather Service say a weak La Niña is expected to persist through December 2025–February 2026 and will help shape the winter outlook, though its limited strength means other climate patterns (e.g., the Arctic Oscillation and NAO) can strongly modulate outcomes. The outlook favors colder and potentially snowier conditions for the Upper Midwest and parts of the northern Plains — including Minnesota, North Dakota, Montana and Idaho — driven by a more northerly storm track and an active polar jet. Much of the southern tier and parts of the Eastern Seaboard are more likely to see milder, drier conditions (notably Florida, the Gulf Coast and south Georgia), while the Ohio Valley, southern Great Lakes and much of Alaska trend wetter than normal. Drought is expected to persist or worsen from southern Texas through California. Officials emphasize the outlook expresses probabilities rather than certainties and note seasonal snowfall remains difficult to predict more than a week in advance.

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Last Updated
3 days ago
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Daily Index

Negative

27Serious

Neutral

Optimistic

Positive

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