RAND Warns Russia May Escalate Space Conflict Amid US Tensions

A new RAND study reveals that Russia's heightened fears of a U.S. first strike in space are leading to a more aggressive military posture and increasing the risk of early escalation in any potential space conflict. The report, commissioned by the U.S. Space Force, cautions that Russia's perception of U.S. hostility complicates efforts for crisis communication and de-escalation. The study suggests that Russia's belief in a controlled approach to escalation may further fuel its military actions. Additionally, Swedish Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson presented evidence of a declining Russian economy, indicated by darker satellite images of Moscow and higher-than-reported inflation rates. This economic downturn could influence Russia's military decisions and overall capability in the space arena. The implications of these dynamics underscore the complexity of U.S.-Russia relations and the need for careful diplomacy in the context of emerging space threats.