2025 College Football Win Projections Shift Across Teams

Sportsbooks have released early win total projections for the 2025 college football season, with Missouri's over/under set at 7.5 wins—a decline attributed to key player losses—tying them with Auburn, Texas A&M, and South Carolina for seventh in the SEC. Alabama, Texas, and Georgia lead the SEC, each projected at 9.5 wins. In the Big Ten, UCLA's win total is set at 5.5 amid quarterback changes, including the arrival of former 5-star QB Nico Iamaleava, while Ohio State and Oregon top the conference at 10.5 wins each. Purdue has the lowest Big Ten projection at 3.5 wins after a 1-11 season and a major roster overhaul under new head coach Barry Odom. These forecasts underscore the impact of significant roster movement, coaching changes, and offseason transfers across college football. The updated projections reflect shifting expectations as teams adapt to a rapidly changing landscape.