Poll Shows Reform UK Leads with 290 Seats as Starmer Approval Hits Record Low

A new mega-poll by More In Common indicates that Nigel Farage's Reform UK party would be the clear winner in a hypothetical general election, securing 290 seats and positioning them close to an outright majority in the House of Commons. Labour, led by Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, faces a devastating loss, projected to win only 126 seats, a dramatic drop of 285 seats from their previous landslide victory, with many traditional Labour strongholds in the North and Wales predicted to flip to Reform. The Conservatives are also expected to suffer, dropping to 81 seats, while the Liberal Democrats and SNP are forecasted to gain slightly, with the SNP rising to 42 seats, mostly in Scotland. Starmer's personal approval rating has plummeted to a historic low of -43, with most of his Cabinet ministers predicted to lose their seats due to public dissatisfaction. The poll attributes Labour’s losses primarily to broken promises and failure to address the cost of living crisis, fueling voter shifts towards Reform UK. Meanwhile, the SNP remains strong in Scotland, emphasizing their role as defenders of Scottish interests amid Westminster's challenges.