Colorado State University Predicts Above-Average 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Leading researchers, including those at Colorado State University (CSU), are forecasting an above-average 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major hurricanes. The forecast is supported by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the subtropical eastern Atlantic and Caribbean Sea, along with ENSO-neutral conditions in the Pacific that do not inhibit hurricane formation. CSU highlights a 51 percent chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coastline, with specific risks for the East Coast and Gulf Coast. Although the season started quietly with no storms forming early on, forecasters emphasize that June and July typically see less activity and expect increased hurricane activity later in the season, especially around September. Factors such as warm ocean waters and relatively gentle upper-level winds are conducive to storm development, while dry air and wind shear have so far limited early formation. These forecasts align with predictions from NOAA and underscore the importance of preparedness for a potentially active hurricane season in 2025.