Moldova Elections Lead to Runoff, EU Referendum Uncertain

Moldovan President Maia Sandu is poised to proceed to a runoff election on November 3 after securing approximately 42% of the votes in the first round, while her pro-Russian competitor, Alexandr Stoianoglo, garnered about 26%. A crucial referendum on EU membership remains too close to call, with initial counts showing 50.08% in favor and 49.92% against, though the final result could be swayed by overseas votes that typically favor EU accession. Sandu has accused 'criminal groups' and foreign forces, particularly from Russia, of attempting to undermine the referendum through extensive vote-buying and disinformation campaigns. Despite the close vote, political analysts suggest it may weaken the pro-European stance of both the population and Sandu's leadership, potentially complicating EU accession negotiations that began in June 2024. Moldova, which has been seeking closer ties with the West, began EU accession talks earlier this year following its candidate status alongside Ukraine in 2022. The situation highlights the ongoing influence of Russia in the region, as the US and EU have accused Moscow of meddling in Moldova's political processes.