Democrat Sherrill Maintains Narrow Lead in Tight New Jersey Governor Race

As the New Jersey gubernatorial election approaches, polls show a tightening race between Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli, with Sherrill holding a narrow lead of around 47-50% compared to Ciattarelli's 44-45%. Multiple polls, including those by KAConsulting, Quinnipiac University, and Rutgers-Eagleton, indicate the race is within the margin of error, suggesting a potential photo finish. Key voting demographics reveal Sherrill's strong support among women, nonwhite voters, college-educated individuals, and seniors, while Ciattarelli performs better with men, white voters, less-educated voters, and those aged 35 to 49. The influence of former President Trump remains significant, with about half of voters citing him as a major factor in their decision; Sherrill targets Ciattarelli for his Trump endorsement, whereas Ciattarelli distances himself from the MAGA label despite praising Trump's presidency. Independent voters, who form a crucial swing bloc, are divided but lean slightly towards Sherrill. Overall, turnout will be decisive in this closely contested election, reflecting deep partisan and demographic divides.