NOAA Predicts Above-Normal 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season With Up to 19 Storms

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting an above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, with a 60% chance of above-average activity and predictions of 13 to 19 named storms, including 6 to 10 hurricanes, of which 3 to 5 could be major (Category 3 or higher). Key factors driving this forecast include warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures, weak wind shear, and ENSO-neutral conditions, which together create a conducive environment for storm development. Forecasters emphasize the rapid intensification of storms, noting that every Category 5 hurricane hitting the U.S. developed from a tropical storm within three days, underscoring the need for early preparedness. NOAA is leveraging advanced models and improved forecasting tools to provide timely warnings, aiming to help communities make critical decisions ahead of storms. Similar forecasts from other agencies like Colorado State University and AccuWeather also predict a volatile hurricane season comparable to the destructive storms seen in recent years, such as those in 2017 and 2023. Officials warn that the impacts of hurricanes extend beyond coasts, highlighting the importance of readiness across all affected areas.