Sweden Wins Eurovision 2025 Semi-Final One in Basel

Sweden, represented by the band KAJ and their song "Bara Bada Bastu," is the leading favorite to win Eurovision 2025, impressing audiences with a dynamic performance blending folk, rap, and pop. Their semi-final one performance featured striking visuals including a fairy-tale forest backdrop and dramatic lighting effects, which received enthusiastic public and social media praise. Data-driven predictions by Eurovoix's "The Model" foresee Sweden comfortably winning the first semi-final with a projected 184 points and ultimately taking the Grand Final with a combined score of 606 points. Audience polls conducted after rehearsals further reinforce Sweden's top position, with KAJ receiving the highest public vote share in semi-final one. Other countries predicted to qualify alongside Sweden include Iceland and San Marino, while Cyprus, Slovenia, Portugal, Croatia, and Azerbaijan are expected to be eliminated in the semi-finals. As the contest progresses, "The Model" continues updating predictions, noting changes in standings for countries like Ukraine, the Netherlands, Israel, and Switzerland.