New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Spartans Set October 2025 Mountain West Clash

The New Mexico Lobos and San José State Spartans face off in a Mountain West Conference game where San José State enters as a slight 2.5-point favorite but the betting market reveals mixed signals. San José State holds a strong October home record against non-AP-ranked teams and has covered the spread frequently against New Mexico, yet they have struggled at home overall and shown defensive vulnerabilities, ranking poorly in fourth-down conversions and red zone defense. New Mexico, on the other hand, boasts a three-game winning streak, strong ball control with elite time of possession, and a history of covering the spread as underdogs, especially on the road in California. While the total points line has risen to near 58.5, sharp bettors lean toward New Mexico +2.5 and the under, reflecting respect for both defenses and an expectation of a close, low-scoring game. Key players like Danny Scudero, leading the conference in receiving yards, and Jaxton Eck, leading in forced fumbles, are crucial for New Mexico’s chances, highlighting both teams' competitive edges. Overall, the matchup is viewed as a potential trap for casual bettors favoring the home favorite, with strategic betting advice favoring New Mexico and a cautious approach to the spread and total points.