Colorado State University Downgrades 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast

Colorado State University (CSU) has slightly downgraded its 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast, reducing the predicted number of named storms from 17 to 16, hurricanes from 9 to 8, and major hurricanes from 4 to 3. This adjustment is primarily due to unusually high wind shear levels observed in the Caribbean during June and July, which tend to disrupt or prevent hurricane formation. Despite this, ocean temperatures in the Atlantic remain warmer than average, and the Pacific is expected to remain in a neutral ENSO phase, factors that still support hurricane activity. CSU emphasizes that there is still a slightly higher than normal chance for a major hurricane to make landfall in the U.S. or Caribbean, underscoring the importance of preparedness. Experts note some uncertainty remains in the forecast, with potential shifts toward a La Niña pattern possibly reducing wind shear later in the season. Ultimately, CSU reminds that it only takes one storm to cause significant impacts, urging vigilance throughout the hurricane season.