Recent strikes in Tehran and Beirut have intensified regional tensions, with Hamas accusing Israel of assassinating its leader Ismail Haniyeh in Iran. This comes alongside Israel's admission of a strike that killed Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukur in Beirut. These actions follow a long history of targeted killings attributed to Israel, raising concerns of escalating conflict in the region after nearly ten months of war in Gaza. The strike on Haniyeh, likely timed to coincide with his attendance at an Iranian presidential inauguration, is viewed as a significant military risk by analysts. Iran's leadership has vowed retaliation, complicating ongoing ceasefire negotiations and heightening fears of broader conflict. Overall, these developments represent a dangerous gamble for Israel amidst an already volatile situation.