Polls Show Reform UK Leads Next UK Election by Double Digits

Recent Ipsos polling shows Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, surging to a record 34% vote share, positioning the party as the frontrunner for the next UK general election with a potential majority. The poll places Labour at 25% and the Conservatives trailing at 15%, indicating a significant collapse in support for both major parties. If replicated nationwide, the results could translate into over 400 seats for Reform UK, reducing Labour to around 140 seats and the Conservatives to fewer than 10, effectively making Farage Prime Minister. The poll also highlights widespread dissatisfaction with Labour leader Keir Starmer, who has the lowest approval ratings at this stage of his term since records began, with only 19% satisfied and 73% dissatisfied. Analysts caution that while these figures signal a dramatic political shift, translating national vote shares into parliamentary seats can be complex due to constituency-level variations. Nonetheless, the rising momentum of Reform UK and the decline of traditional parties have significant implications for British politics ahead of the next election scheduled for 2029.