Poland Election First Round Yields Narrow Liberal-Conservative Margin

The first round of Poland's presidential election resulted in a narrow lead for liberal Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski over conservative candidate Karol Nawrocki, who is backed by the nationalist Law and Justice party. Trzaskowski secured around 31.2-31.4% of the vote, while Nawrocki received approximately 29.5-29.7%, setting up a runoff on June 1. The election is critical as it could influence Poland's domestic legislation and foreign policy, especially regarding relations with the European Union and reforms to the judicial system. Trzaskowski, aligned with Prime Minister Donald Tusk's pro-EU government, would likely support reversing changes enacted by the previous conservative administration, whereas Nawrocki promises to challenge Tusk’s policies, opposing EU treaty modifications that reduce sovereignty and rejecting illegal migration and euro adoption. The strong showing of far-right candidates suggests a highly polarized political climate, with a divisive and brutal campaign expected. The president’s limited powers include vetoing legislation, making the outcome significant for the ongoing political struggle between liberal and nationalist forces in Poland.