Steelers 85.5% Playoff Odds Amid AFC Uncertainty

The Pittsburgh Steelers have started the 2025 season 3-1, are leading the AFC North, and JPA gives them an 85.5% chance to make the playoffs (second-best in the AFC). Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been playing well, particularly in the quick passing game, and a Quinnipiac poll shows 52% of Pennsylvania fans approve of his signing. Pittsburgh’s clearer path has been helped by instability among AFC North rivals, including Ravens QB Lamar Jackson’s hamstring issue and Bengals QB Joe Burrow’s turf-toe surgery. Those injuries produced notable market moves — Jackson’s absence flipped a projected Ravens favorite into a Texans edge — and BetMGM lists the Steelers among the most-bet teams to reach the postseason. Separately, the Green Bay Packers got a boost as WR Christian Watson opened a three-week window to be taken off the PUP list, potentially restoring a top deep threat for that offense.