National Hurricane Center Monitors Low-Chance Tropical Development Near Florida, Southeast US

Tropical Storm Barry, the second named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, made landfall in eastern Mexico as a tropical depression and has since weakened into a post-tropical system, although its remnants may bring heavy rain and flooding to parts of Mexico and South Texas. Meanwhile, meteorologists are closely monitoring a low-pressure area near Florida and the Gulf Coast that currently has a 20% chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical storm over the next week, potentially affecting the Southeast U.S. including Georgia and Florida during the Fourth of July weekend. This potential system is associated with a stalled front across Florida’s peninsula, and while development odds are low, warm waters and historical patterns suggest the possibility of increased tropical activity. Forecast models mostly predict that if development occurs, it will result in widespread rainfall rather than strong winds, with unsettled and wet weather expected across Florida, southern Georgia, and the Gulf Coast. Residents and holiday travelers in these areas are advised to stay updated as the situation evolves, given the proximity of the potential low-pressure system to land. Overall, early hurricane season activity remains relatively low impact so far, but vigilance remains warranted as conditions could change in the coming days.