Historian Allan Lichtman, known for his accurate predictions in U.S. presidential elections, has forecasted that Kamala Harris will win the upcoming November poll. Lichtman's methodology, consisting of 13 true-or-false keys related to the political landscape, suggests that Democrats have lost only one key due to Biden's withdrawal, which positions Harris favorably despite the incumbency loss. Although several keys appear to favor Donald Trump, including the Democrats' loss in the 2022 midterms, Lichtman believes Harris's candidacy will prevail. His predictions challenge conventional wisdom, as he emphasizes that traditional polling and media narratives are less reliable than his historical analysis. The prediction aligns with Harris's increasing support among Democrats as she takes the lead in the race. Lichtman's expertise has led him to accurately predict all but one election since 1984, raising the stakes for the upcoming election.