Polls Show Shifting 2028 US Presidential Race Dynamics

Recent polling indicates significant shifts in political landscapes both in Tasmania and the upcoming 2028 U.S. presidential race. In Tasmania, support for the Liberals has declined slightly since the 2024 election, with the party still likely to win more seats than Labor and face a potential hung parliament scenario, while Greens and independents remain influential. In the U.S., President Donald Trump continues to shape political betting markets and electoral expectations for 2028, with concerns about the impact of his candidacy on betting platforms. Polls reveal a weak Democratic bench for 2028, with Vice President Kamala Harris's support waning amid criticism of her past performance and other Democratic contenders viewed as less viable, while Republicans, led by Vice President J.D. Vance, show strong potential to consolidate control. Vance leads Republican primary polls by a wide margin, overshadowing other candidates including Marco Rubio and Ron DeSantis, signaling challenges ahead for Democratic prospects. This evolving political context underscores a continuing advantage for Trump's administration and difficulties for Democrats in regaining momentum.