A&M Favored Slightly in Tight LSU Road Game

No. 3 Texas A&M (7-0) visits No. 20 LSU (5-2) at Tiger Stadium Saturday night as a narrow road favorite, with Bill Connelly’s SP+ giving A&M roughly a 52% win probability and projecting a 26–25 game. A&M’s offense — 17th nationally at about 464 yards per game — is led by mobile quarterback Marcel Reed and transfer receivers, and the Aggies generate consistent pressure up front from edge rusher Will Howell. LSU’s offense has struggled (has scored more than 24 points only once), increasing scrutiny on coach Brian Kelly, though the Tigers’ defense and Tiger Stadium remain advantages. LSU is dealing with injuries, including multiple linebacker absences and left tackle Tyree Adams sidelined with freshman Carius Curne penciled in at LT. The game will likely hinge on clock control, trench battles and whether A&M’s road defense can contain the run and keep pressure off Reed.