Poll: Cuomo Narrows Gap, Leads Mamdani Head‑to‑Head

A new AtlasIntel poll shows Democratic Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani with roughly 40–41%, former Gov. Andrew Cuomo at 34%, and Republican Curtis Sliwa in the mid-20s, narrowing Mamdani’s lead to about 6–7 points; the poll’s margin of error is ±3 points. The survey also finds Cuomo would lead a two-way matchup against Mamdani if Sliwa were removed (about 50% to 42%). Other recent polls and the RealClearPolitics average continue to show a larger Mamdani advantage (RCP: Mamdani ~45%, Cuomo ~31%), highlighting disagreement among surveys. Cuomo has been campaigning in Brighton Beach, courting conservative and Russian-speaking voters and appearing with Republican Councilwoman Inna Vernikov while urging Sliwa supporters to back him. Mamdani says he remains confident, pointing to momentum among young voters and heavy early turnout. Nearly half a million New Yorkers have already voted ahead of the Nov. 4 election, leaving the race uncertain.